My take, just posted on Scott's forum
the upstops here have clearly failed for some reason. There's no way the side wheel should be above the track section, it should always (even in moments of extreme airtime) remain below the level of the upper track. The point of the side wheel is to keep the train within the confines of the tracks, much as the upstops keep it on the track. If the side wheels go above the track, then the train will lurch too far to one side and stall as the bogey (or chassis, or whatever, I'm not THAT clear on coaster train construction :lol: ) will hit the track.
The train was apparently travelling at speed the rest of the day over that section, so there's no reason to think it would roll back. If it DID roll back,. it's because of a fault.
I'd suspect (pure conjecture) that the upstop wheel has failed somehow on that wheel cluster. It's then either caused the train to stall, roll back and hit the anti-rollbacks (this has then finally finished off the upstop and the force of the roll back has lifted the carriage and derailed it) or, the upstop has failed somehow and the train has lifted, the side wheel has hit the top, the wheel assembly has ground against the track and the train has stalled and rolled back.
Either way, it has derailed at some point...
If they're talking about reopening with one train very soon, then it
can't be a track fault - it's a simple mechanical issue on the wheel assembly. They're not new trains, so it's a simple fault much like the RMT accident at Alton Towers - metal sheering off unexpectedly.
H&S will examine the wheel assembly and make sure that it's been well maintained and checked and that it's just "one of those things".
It's unfortunate it's at the same place as last year, but nothing so far suggests it's the track at fault or even it's down to poor maintenance.
It's simply (I believe) bad luck and I doubt it will have any effect on the future of the ride. If somebody had been killed maybe, but not for a relatively minor incident like this.
Good news? The fact another train didn't crash into them shows that the new system they put in works. So they didn't waste
all that money over the closed season