On enthusiast opinion vs. general public, Joey you put it best as GP simply do not have "knowledge to pre-judge". Indeed, guests are taking roller coasters at face value. Has a big loop? Cool. Large first drop? Yeah, probably worth riding. The general public seeks the same elements and thrills enthusiasts do - we just have the benefit of also knowing what other models exist within the genre. Some are highlighting the notion that Valravn is a repeat of other coaster elements; but that indeed is an angle Cedar Point is going for. Tony Clark only just wrote this passage in the latest CP blog post:
OnPoint Blog said:
And in case you forgot, Valravn will be the 5th coaster at Cedar Point OVER 200 FEET TALL. Nowhere on Earth can you find five coasters over 200 feet tall in one place!
Now in terms of general public opinion directly reflecting favorite roller coasters... things get a bit difficult to gauge. The most ideal way to measure this would be polling of guests to rank their favorite roller coasters. Such data is unfortunately available, yet Cedar Point has released 2013 and 2014 ridership numbers (and hopefully 2015 will be underway):
2014:
1 GateKeeper 1,898,204
2 Millennium Force 1,721,918
3 Raptor 1,414,447
4 Magnum XL-200 1,355,861
5 Gemini 1,298,304
6 Maverick 1,153,896
7 Iron Dragon 1,092,242
8 Top Thrill Dragster 1,077,885
9 Mantis 925,667
10 Wicked Twister 794,264
2013:
1 GateKeeper 2,165,965
2 Millennium Force 1,680,269
3 Raptor 1,511,099
4 Gemini 1,322,320
5 Iron Dragon 1,231,881
6 Top Thrill Dragster 1,171,135
7 Maverick 1,077,276
8 Wicked Twister 791,941
While ridership is not the greatest way to gauge popularity of a roller coaster - "voting with your feet" is still a good metric to bear in mind.
Suffice it to say, roller coasters an enthusiast would call mediocre - Gatekeeper, Raptor - actually end up being the most popular rides in the park. Other factors play into this of course - such as Gatekeeper and Raptor being the first two immediate roller coasters upon entry to the park, and mammoth capacity of B&M trains; but it would be very difficult to call either roller coaster unsuccessful given such large rider numbers.
Now to Valravn specifically, I also agree with you Joey - Dive Machines seemed to hit their ceiling with Sheikra in terms of design, and of the 11 currently in existence, 5 are smaller, one drop-focused roller coasters. The remaining, larger Dive Machines? All Sheikra and Griffon clones. All of which begs the question, how did Cedar Fair land on adding a Dive Machine at their flagship park?
Well, a few things pretty well shown on Cedar Point additions:
1.
Focus on capacity - Cedar Point is the second largest amusement park in North America, with 3.247 million attendance in 2014. (Canada's Wonderland had 3.546 million) Indeed, Cedar Point has been very capacity-minded of late, most famously with Windseeker; went with Mondial in the interest of landing more capacity than Funtime's tower swing offering, yet ran into major technical difficulties due to wind dynamics and electronic controllers. For capacity, there is no competition to B&M. Their roller coasters simply offer very large trains with easy-to-load restraints. And the dreaded pay lockers? Indeed, all the interest of expediting loading of passengers. (yes, you can argue the merit of charging for said lockers, but that's another discussion) Cedar Fair's brightest spot is on its ride operations, which should come as no surprise then on a preference for high capacity roller coasters.
This also means certain roller coaster offerings, such as Eurofighters, simply don't appear to register on the park's radar out of concern for rider numbers.
2.
B&M has been a steady Cedar Fair supplier for 7 years - Since the debut of Behemoth in 2008, B&M has built 7 other roller coasters for Cedar Fair; the most of any other roller coaster provider for the park chain. It turns out Cedar Fair has found a lot of need for filling roller coaster lineup gaps, such as 200+ roller coasters.
3.
Cedar Fair really doesn't like Intamin - Ever since the debacle of Shoot the Rapids, which still is not able to fully operate, Cedar Fair has been pretty well documented at having zero interest in future Intamin projects at this time. Again - B&M has been very busy filling in large steel coasters also offered by Intamin. Yet the technical and design shortfalls of Intamin across Shoot the Rapids, Intimidator 305, Top Thrill Dragster, Millennium Force, Wicked Twister, etc. seem to have simply been a deal breaker, or at last, a mantle that the new Matt Ouimet regime simply does not wish the carry...
4.
No More Dick Kinzel, No More Risks - This could be purely anecdotal due to Matt Ouimet still being early into helming the Cedar Fair ship, but the park chain was indeed innovative and pushed the envelope... with another CEO. MF and TTD were both risky investments, Kinzel even expressed later regret on TTD - but ones that certainly paid off in popularity, ridership, etc. That all being said, Fury's entire design process would have occurred under Ouimet's care.
Rather, the design ethos of Cedar Fair has seemed to turn more to "sense of place", something I was able to talk more in-depth with Rob Decker, Cedar Fair VP of Planning and Design, during Gatekeeper's opening.
[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qimGo74uKCA[/youtube]
Having laid all of this out, I'd anticipate Valravn to make it's mark similar to that of Mantis/Rougarou. It is a novelty at the end of the day, yet one that simply will not be as popular as inverts, gigas, etc. Given the ride's immediate proximity to the main park entrance, I would anticipate ridership to register in at #4, right behind Raptor.